StockMarketTiming.com, LLC is a leading subscription-based independent financial service for investors and financial firms that are looking for a consistent and effective method for increasing their savings in both bullish and bearish markets. Our market timing system has an outstanding long-term track record for trading the popular Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs: DIA, SPY, and QQQ). Our service has been live since July 2001.
Greatest Achievement in the Stock Market
Dr. Dillon's service performed outstanding during the most devastating bear markets in history (i.e., the bear markets of 2000-02 and 2008).
The returns of SMT during these significant bear markets are probably unmatched by any other technical analyst of the modern era. The key to a successful trading system is preservation of capital, especially during bear markets.
Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
Many financial advisors (FAs) invest their client's assets using the Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT). MPT is a theory of finance which attempts to maximize portfolio expected return for a given amount of portfolio risk, or equivalently minimize risk for a given level of expected return, by carefully choosing the proportions of various assets. Although MPT is widely used in practice in the financial industry, in recent years the basic assumptions of MPT have been widely challenged by fields such as behavioral economics. One reason is due to the major fluctuations of the stock and bond markets. When both of these major entities are performing poorly, investors will be at high risk using this concept.
|In nearly all portfolios of the MPT, a certain percentage is diversified in the Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The popular ETFs are the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), and the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). These stocks will always fluctuate over time. Trying to determine their price at any given moment based on economic conditions or fundamental analysis is nearly impossible. We have designed a rules-based system for trading these ETFs that produce results that consistently outperform the buy-and-hold strategy of investing.
Sector Rotation Strategy
Another strategy used by financial advisors is sector rotation. Normally sector rotation generally leads to lower portfolio returns, mostly because you have to guess right three times in a row to profit from the strategy. Sector rotation has so many problems with future performance, since it consistently' produces variable or inconsistent results.
Few sector-rotators succeed over long periods, because they need to guess right three times: First, they have to pick the top sectors. Ok, that may be easy. Then, define where those sectors are in a bull or bear cycle and in relation to the unforeseen future. Ok, that's almost impossible. You may think the sector is alternating to the next better performing sector, but you really do not know where the profitable duration of that sector is located within the full cycle. Secondly, you would need to pick the stocks that will continue to rise within those economic sectors.
|Defining ones that are rising now or leaders of a sector, doesn't mean they will continue to rise or continue to be a leader. If you drop them out one-by-one of the portfolio because they start to underperform the market, means you are losing money. You will always be behind the eight ball. And finally, you must choose the stocks in that sector before they fall. Consistently succeeding at all three is extremely difficult, really next to impossible.
|Robert W Dillon, Ph.D. is the founder and chief technical chart analyst of StockMarketTiming.com. Robert has over 30 years of experience trading the stock market and has developed a rules-based system that uses technical parameters of the stock market. He has taught at five universities and academic institutions with a total of 63 classes as an Adjunct Professor.
Robert has three degrees in the fields of science: Bachelor's degree in Earth Science from the University of New Orleans, and a Master of Science degree and Doctorate degree in Geology & Geophysics from the Missouri University of Science & Technology, with specialties in geochemistry, geohydrology, and geophysics. He was featured in the MSM-Alumni magazine as one of the most successful entrepreneurs to have graduated from the Missouri University of Science & Technology. Robert graduated magna cum laude in his post-graduate degrees.
Robert has a vast amount of experience in highly complex charts. He is also a master fingerstyle guitarist. The combination of his scientific and creative abilities with the stock market using technical analysis, gives him a pure analytical advantage over traditional strategies used by money managers.
Due to his success in the financial world, he became semi-retired at the age of 41 and has been providing financial guidance to his customers since year 2001. He holds the highest level of ethical standards and avoids any conflicts of interest.
He has watched the markets evolve well before the Internet with all transactions conducted over the phone through a stock broker, gathering information from newspapers, articles posted in the Wall Street Journal, and company reports with outdated charts. In the early-1980's, he remembers creating his own charts by plotting daily stock prices obtained from the newspapers.
Soon after the birth of the Internet in 1983, basic charting software gave rise to technical analysis. Since then, Robert has tested & experimented with almost every style of technical trading. He has extensively traded the market and experienced every imaginable technical and emotional situation with trading stocks.
Through all of that, the greatest teacher of course, is the market itself. And while the speed and method of execution may change, the fundamental truths that underly technical analysis remain the same. Fear and greed reflected in crowd dynamics will always be represented within a simple price (and volume) vs. time chart.
Trading signals may be provided to Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs) who manage Assets Under Management (AUM) on a contract basis. Performance results are independently verified by Alpha Performance Verification Services and TimerTrac.
Dr. Dillon is not a registered or licensed investment advisor or broker-dealer. His clients are individual investors and professional investment advisors. He has many financial advisors and money managers who use his trading signals for their clients. The SMT system contains back-tested data starting in January 2000, and went live in July 2001. All returns are published on the site.
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